Showing posts with label Paddy Power. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Paddy Power. Show all posts

Wednesday, 15 August 2012

The Best Value Betting for the nPower Championship 2012/13

Ah yes, the nPower Championship. This is, without doubt, Route One’s favourite division anywhere across the globe. 

There is sometimes silky football, more often there is blood and sand football played on the edge, but always there is the knowledge that any side can beat any other on their day in this division. Which is what makes betting here a bit of a gamble, if you’ll pardon the pun. But we’ll try our best:

Winner & Promotion

 

Again, we must look at the fortunes of the three relegated teams as a starting point. Bolton (7/1, Paddy Power) look a decent punt for a title shove – they’ve brought in Keith Andrews, Matt Mills and Andy Lonergan, but perhaps the best news for the Trotters is the return from long term injuries of Lee Chung-Yong, Stuart Holden and Tyrone Mears. With the exciting Marvin Sordell leading the line, expect Owen Coyle’s eye catching football to get results this campaign.

Blackburn are 12/1 for the title with Coral, and those look fair odds. But Steve Kean has held onto his job by the skin of his teeth, and made perhaps the Championship signing of the summer in Danny Murphy. Alongside Dickson Etuhu in midfield, with the exciting Fabio Nunes on the flank and Nuno Gomes up top, take the 4/1 at William Hill for promotion back to the Promised Land.

With short odds of 5/2 for promotion, Wolves look unbackable (could be a word?). It looks like they are set to lose their prized assets in Steven Fletcher and Matt Jarvis, with Michael Kightly already having left for pastures new. With an unknown quantity in charge in the shape of Stale Solbakken, this could be a season too early for the West Midlands outfit.

For fans of the value punt, both Cardiff (4/1, Paddy) and Birmingham (6/1, Paddy) look decent prices. The Bluebirds (or are they Redbirds now?) have brought in Craig Bellamy – who still looks hungry for success, Heidar Helguson and the talented youngster Jordan Mutch. Combined with the existing midfield of Arron Gunnarsson, Peter Whittingham and Stephen McPhail, this could be the season that Cardiff crack the Premiership nut.

Birmingham have exceptional young manager Lee Clark, and superb youngster Jack Butland between the sticks. Having kept the majority of their squad from last season, the Blues are a good shout for a Play Off spot.

Relegation

 

*All best relegation odds provided by Paddy Power*

Barnsley (11/8) are the hot tip from the bookmakers to be rooted to the bottom of the table come next May. They’ve lost a whole heap of players, including veteran goal poacher Andy Gray, and replaced these with an injury-riddled Egyptian. Yep, step forward Mido. Hard to see how the Tykes can stay up.

When your only signing of the summer is Jody Morris, you know you are in for a tricky season. This is why a whole heap of money has been piled onto Bristol City (5/2). The Robins struggled royally last season, and things look just as bleak for the forthcoming campaign.

Huddersfield (4/1) are a decent young man side with a safe pair of hands at the helm in Simon Grayson, but much will depend on the final destination of Jordan Rhodes as to the success or otherwise of the Terriers.

And Peterborough (2/1) will hope that their goal power will be enough to keep them safe. As fans of the ‘Both Teams to Score’ coupon will know so well, goals tend to fly in at London Road on a regular basis – at both ends. 

Top Goalscorer

 

Here at Route One we reckon you can perm one from six for this prize. Jermaine Beckford (20/1, Coral) will benefit from a full season under Nigel Pearson’s tutelage, and with exciting wingers Ben Marshall and Anthony Knockeart providing the ammunition, expect JB to bulge the net on twenty or more occasions.

Ross McCormack (20/1) and Marvin Emnes (25/1, Paddy Power) are both proven Championship goalscorers, and young scamps Marvin Sordell (25/1) and Charlie Austin (20/1) certainly have goals in them. 

And keep an eye on the Steven Fletcher (14/1, William Hill) situation too – if he stays at Wolves, well, he certainly knows where the net is.

Tuesday, 14 August 2012

The Best Value Betting for nPower League One


Here at Route One we reckon fans of clubs in nPower League One are in for an absolute treat this season.

On first glance there appears to be no runaway winner of the title, around a dozen sides who could genuinely be in the mix for the Play Off places, and don’t even get us started on the relegation scrap ahead. 

One thing is for certain though, there’s money to be made from League One betting. So we’ve racked our collective brains (didn’t take too long), and here is what we have found:

Outright & Promotion

 

Typically, you’d expect the three relegated teams from the Championship to be the front runners for the title. This year, however, there appears to be a buck in that trend. Coventry City have had a bit of a clear out, lost a few of their better players and have replaced them with Kevin Kilbane. Still, onwards and upwards hey. Take the 9/2 on offer from Coral for the Sky Blues to be promoted if you’re feeling particularly frivolous.

Pompey will be more concerned with avoiding the drop than promotion (more on that later), and Doncaster Rovers – despite the shrewd signings of David Cotterill and Billy Paynter – will probably be off the pace.

So it seems that some of last season’s nearly men could be in the frame for bigger and better things this time round. Sheffield United have maintained their strong home support, and despite losing a few players you have to assume they’ll be there or thereabouts come May. Their outright price of 6/1 at Coral would suggest the bookmakers aren’t so confident.

One side we do like the look of at Route One is Colchester United. The ‘U’s’ have convinced key players Anthony Wordsworth, John-Joe O’Toole and Magnus Okuonghae to stay, and have added Championship experience in the form of Clinton Morrison, Freddie Sears and Marcus Bean. The 11/1 being offered by William Hill for promotion is red hot value.

Others who we fancy will be in the promotion shake-up include MK Dons (5/2, Paddy Power), last season’s dark horses Notts County (9/2, Ladbrokes) and – safe in the knowledge that back-to-back promotions are a distinct possibility (see Norwich, Southampton, Stevenage et al) – Swindon (3/1, Paddy Power).

Relegation


In the light of Portsmouth’s ongoing battles, League One relegation betting has been suspended by all of the leading bookmakers.

On a purely predictive note, expect Pompey’s crudely assembled squad to struggle. It pains us to say it, but things could be set to get worse for the South Coast club, and it’s such a shame to see. Walsall and Hartlepool are our other two picks for the dreaded drop.

Top Goalscorer

 

Another open field this one. You would expect both of the Mk Dons duo Ryan Lowe and Charlie MacDonald (both 20/1, Paddy Power) to be banging them in, assuming that new signing Alan Smith is not reverted back to the forward role he so enjoyed as a young scamp at Leeds. Either way, there are plenty of goals to be had at the MK Stadium this term.

Chris Porter is the favourite with many bookmakers, with best odds of 14/1 to be had at Paddy Power. Tall and powerful, Porter will benefit from more game time for the Blades following Ched Evans’ incarceration, and certainly knows where the net is.

And don’t forget Lewis Grabban (16/1, William Hill) and Gary Alexander (25/1, Coral), who both scored plenty in League Two last season, and will be confident of maintaining that form this campaign.

One final treat for you, dear reader, and this is the Route One Special. A young man by the name of Mathias Pogba signed for Crewe Alexandra in the summer, and subsequently notched 8 goals in 5 pre-season games. He followed this with a brace in Crewe’s 5-0 Capital Cup demolition of Hartlepool last weekend.

Now we could be made to look really, really silly with this one, but the 66/1 being offered by William Hill looks like exceptional value. Just don’t blame us if he turns out to be a lame duck...

Monday, 13 August 2012

The Best Value Betting for npower League Two


It’s been said before but we may as well say it again, npower League 2 is an absolute nightmare to predict. As we know, there is a fine line between stupid and clever, but here at Route One we thought we’d stick our collective necks on the line and give a few predictions anyway.

Outright & Promotion


These two markets are set to be very closely fought. Relegated from League One last campaign, Chesterfield will be in the mix for the title. They have streamlined their squad by releasing up to ten players, and have been shrewd in the market themselves by bringing in Sam Togwell, Terrell Forbes and Marc Richards. With Jack Lester and Craig Westcarr also still on the books, the Spireites have plenty of goals in them.

Fleetwood will be looking to keep up the momentum of their promotion to the third tier, and have plenty of resources at this level to succeed. Their loan offer for Joey Barton highlights their ambition, with the signings of Jon ‘The Beast' Parkin, Steven Gillespie and former Premier League regular Damian Johnson adding further fuel to the fire. Expect a successful 2012/13.

A club that we at Route One managed to catch in a game last season was Southend. We were impressed by how well organised they were, and with Paul Sturrock at the helm they have an experienced pair of hands steering the ship. The addition of Freddy Eastwood could be a masterstroke. Will be there or thereabouts in the shake-up come next April.

The Verdict: Whilst Rotherham are clear favourites, the 6/1 offered by Ladbrokes on Fleetwood to lift the trophy is great, great value.  For fans of the value outsider, Southend for promotion (7/2, William Hill) seems fair.

Relegation


Following their trials and tribulations of last season, Barnet are likely to be heavily involved in the relegation dog fight again. They only escaped the dreaded drop on the last day of the season, and this saw the departure of manager Martin Allen, his coaching staff and club captain Mark Hughes. 

Burton Albion are perennially in the mix and can expect the same perils again, and if Morecambe showcase the sort of form they produced in the last half of last season they could be in deep trouble too.

The Verdict: If you are looking for value, then take the 4/1 offered by William Hill on Morecambe to drop through the football league trapdoor. If, on the other hand, you are looking for safe money then surely this season will be one too far for Barnet (7/2, William Hill).

Top Goalscorer


There are so many contenders for this that it’s hard to know where to begin. Marc Richards (14/1, Coral) is a prolific lower league marksman, and he will enjoy his new surroundings down Chesterfield way. Another Spireite to consider is Jack Lester, who is very generously priced at 33/1 with Paddy Power.

Others of note include the new Fleetwood pair Steven Gillespie and Jon Parkin (14/1 and 20/1 respectively, Ladbrokes), Stuart Beavon scored 25 goals last season and at the time of writing is still with relegated Wycombe Wanderers (16/1, Coral) and last season’s League Two top goalscorer Adebayo Akinfenwa (a staggering 28/1, Coral).

The Verdict: Take the two golden oldies – Akinfenwa and Lester – for prime value.