Monday, 13 August 2012

The Best Value Betting for npower League Two


It’s been said before but we may as well say it again, npower League 2 is an absolute nightmare to predict. As we know, there is a fine line between stupid and clever, but here at Route One we thought we’d stick our collective necks on the line and give a few predictions anyway.

Outright & Promotion


These two markets are set to be very closely fought. Relegated from League One last campaign, Chesterfield will be in the mix for the title. They have streamlined their squad by releasing up to ten players, and have been shrewd in the market themselves by bringing in Sam Togwell, Terrell Forbes and Marc Richards. With Jack Lester and Craig Westcarr also still on the books, the Spireites have plenty of goals in them.

Fleetwood will be looking to keep up the momentum of their promotion to the third tier, and have plenty of resources at this level to succeed. Their loan offer for Joey Barton highlights their ambition, with the signings of Jon ‘The Beast' Parkin, Steven Gillespie and former Premier League regular Damian Johnson adding further fuel to the fire. Expect a successful 2012/13.

A club that we at Route One managed to catch in a game last season was Southend. We were impressed by how well organised they were, and with Paul Sturrock at the helm they have an experienced pair of hands steering the ship. The addition of Freddy Eastwood could be a masterstroke. Will be there or thereabouts in the shake-up come next April.

The Verdict: Whilst Rotherham are clear favourites, the 6/1 offered by Ladbrokes on Fleetwood to lift the trophy is great, great value.  For fans of the value outsider, Southend for promotion (7/2, William Hill) seems fair.

Relegation


Following their trials and tribulations of last season, Barnet are likely to be heavily involved in the relegation dog fight again. They only escaped the dreaded drop on the last day of the season, and this saw the departure of manager Martin Allen, his coaching staff and club captain Mark Hughes. 

Burton Albion are perennially in the mix and can expect the same perils again, and if Morecambe showcase the sort of form they produced in the last half of last season they could be in deep trouble too.

The Verdict: If you are looking for value, then take the 4/1 offered by William Hill on Morecambe to drop through the football league trapdoor. If, on the other hand, you are looking for safe money then surely this season will be one too far for Barnet (7/2, William Hill).

Top Goalscorer


There are so many contenders for this that it’s hard to know where to begin. Marc Richards (14/1, Coral) is a prolific lower league marksman, and he will enjoy his new surroundings down Chesterfield way. Another Spireite to consider is Jack Lester, who is very generously priced at 33/1 with Paddy Power.

Others of note include the new Fleetwood pair Steven Gillespie and Jon Parkin (14/1 and 20/1 respectively, Ladbrokes), Stuart Beavon scored 25 goals last season and at the time of writing is still with relegated Wycombe Wanderers (16/1, Coral) and last season’s League Two top goalscorer Adebayo Akinfenwa (a staggering 28/1, Coral).

The Verdict: Take the two golden oldies – Akinfenwa and Lester – for prime value.

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